Publications

Preprints

Mehling, O., Bellomo, K., Fabiano, F., Devilliers, M., Petrini, M., Corti, S., & von Hardenberg, J.: Limited impact of Greenland meltwater on abruptness and reversibility of future Atlantic overturning changes. [ preprint ]

Ventrucci, C., Fabiano, F., Mehling, O., Bellomo, K., & Davini, P.: AMOC Weakening Shapes Ocean Heat Storage Patterns under Strong Idealized Warming. [ preprint ]

Börner, R., Mehling, O., von Hardenberg, J. & Lucarini, V.: Global stability of the Atlantic overturning circulation: Edge states, long transients and a boundary crisis under CO2 forcing. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, accepted. [ preprint ]

Peer-reviewed

Hahn, L. C., Eisenman, I., Lutsko, N. J., Meccia, V., Mehling, O., & Bellomo, K. (2025): Large Uncertainty in Arctic Warming Driven by the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Geophysical Research Letters 52, e2025GL119720, doi: 10.1029/2025GL119720 [open access]pdf ]

Mehling, O., Bellomo, K., & von Hardenberg, J. (2024): Centennial-Scale Variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP6 Models Shaped by Arctic–North Atlantic Interactions and Sea Ice Biases. Geophysical Research Letters 51, e2024GL110791, doi: 10.1029/2024GL110791 [open access]pdf ] [ supplement ] [ code ]

Bellomo, K. & Mehling, O. (2024): Impacts and State-Dependence of AMOC Weakening in a Warming Climate. Geophysical Research Letters 51, e2023GL107624, doi: 10.1029/2023GL107624 [open access] [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ data ]

Mehling, O., Börner, R. & Lucarini, V. (2024): Limits to predictability of the asymptotic state of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a conceptual climate model. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena 459, 134043, doi: 10.1016/j.physd.2023.134043 [open access]pdf ] [ supplement ] [ code ]

Mehling, O., Bellomo, K., Angeloni, M., Pasquero, C. & von Hardenberg, J. (2023): High-latitude precipitation as a driver of multicentennial variability of the AMOC in a climate model of intermediate complexity. Climate Dynamics 61, 1519–1534, doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06640-3 [open access] [ pdf ] [ supplement ] [ code & data ]

Thesis

Mehling, O. M. (2025): Long-term variability and change of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a hierarchy of climate models. PhD thesis, Politecnico di Torino, hdl: 11583/2997455 [ pdf ]